SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.9%) and 2-1 (7.76%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
39.79% ( 1.33) | 29.45% ( 0.33) | 30.77% ( -1.65) |
| Both teams to score 42.93% ( -1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.16% ( -1.38) | 63.84% ( 1.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.93% ( -1) | 83.07% ( 1) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.64% ( 0.1) | 31.36% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.27% ( 0.11) | 67.73% ( -0.11) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.55% ( -1.98) | 37.45% ( 1.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.77% ( -2) | 74.23% ( 2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 13.61% ( 0.71) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.44)2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 3% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.99% Total : 39.78% | 1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.59)2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.44% | 0-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.36)0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.14)Other @ 1.74% Total : 30.76% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
