SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 50.32%. A win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Independiente Medellin win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
50.32% ( -0.03) | 24.38% ( 0.01) | 25.31% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.08% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.12% ( -0.03) | 47.88% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.94% ( -0.03) | 70.06% ( 0.03) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.95% ( -0.02) | 19.05% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.36% ( -0.04) | 50.64% ( 0.05) |
| Independiente Medellin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.81% ( 0) | 33.19% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.21% ( 0) | 69.79% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.69% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.8% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 50.31% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 25.31% |
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