SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Denmark | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Serbia | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Denmark win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Denmark | Draw | England |
33.31% ( -0.48) | 26.11% ( -0.05) | 40.57% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 53.39% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.95% ( 0.12) | 51.04% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.09% ( 0.11) | 72.9% ( -0.11) |
| Denmark Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71% ( -0.25) | 28.99% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.11% ( -0.3) | 64.89% ( 0.3) |
| England Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.19% ( 0.33) | 24.81% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.6% ( 0.46) | 59.39% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Denmark | Draw | England |
| 1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.31% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.62% Total : 40.56% |
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