SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Italy | 8 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 8 | -10 | 8 |
| 5 | Malta | 8 | -18 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Brazil had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Brazil win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| England | Draw | Brazil |
50.5% ( -0.69) | 25.19% ( 0.26) | 24.31% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 50.57% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.97% ( -0.65) | 52.03% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.24% ( -0.56) | 73.76% ( 0.56) |
| England Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.38% ( -0.54) | 20.61% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.83% ( -0.86) | 53.16% ( 0.86) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.7% ( 0.03) | 36.3% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.91% ( 0.03) | 73.08% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| England | Draw | Brazil |
| 1-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.58% Total : 50.49% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.85% Total : 24.31% |
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