European Championship | Semi-Finals

Jul 7, 2021 at 8pm UK

Wembley Stadium

England
2 - 1
Denmark

Kjaer (39' og.), Kane (104')
Maguire (49')

FT
(aet)

Damsgaard (30')
Wass (72')

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The talking points from England's win over Denmark

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.61%) and 3-2 (4.88%). The likeliest Denmark win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.12%).

Result
England	Draw	Denmark
45.25%	21.16%	33.6%

Both teams to score 71.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.7%

27.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.14%

47.86%

England Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.93%

13.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.33%

39.67%

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.45%

17.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.91%

48.09%

Score Analysis

England 45.25%

Denmark 33.6%

Draw 21.16%

England	Draw	Denmark
2-1 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 5.61% 3-2 @ 4.88% 2-0 @ 4.75% 1-0 @ 4.67% 3-0 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.85% 4-2 @ 2.48% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-3 @ 1.44% 5-1 @ 1.16% 5-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.28% Total : 45.25%	1-1 @ 8.12% 2-2 @ 7.19% 3-3 @ 2.83% 0-0 @ 2.29% Other @ 0.73% Total : 21.16%	1-2 @ 7.07% 2-3 @ 4.17% 1-3 @ 4.1% 0-1 @ 3.99% 0-2 @ 3.47% 0-3 @ 2.01% 2-4 @ 1.81% 1-4 @ 1.78% 3-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.95% Total : 33.6%