SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Miramar Misiones win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Miramar Misiones win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.49%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Miramar Misiones would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Miramar Misiones |
28.64% ( 0.01) | 28.26% ( 0.01) | 43.1% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.18% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.38% ( -0.01) | 60.62% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.29% ( -0.01) | 80.7% ( 0.01) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.66% ( 0.01) | 37.34% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.88% ( 0.01) | 74.12% ( -0) |
| Miramar Misiones Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.11% ( -0.02) | 27.89% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.49% ( -0.02) | 63.51% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Miramar Misiones |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.12% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.75% Total : 28.64% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.25% | 0-1 @ 13.29% 0-2 @ 8.49% ( -0)1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.61% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 1.73% Total : 43.09% |
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