SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 48.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 23.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
23.72% ( -0.01) | 27.9% ( -0.01) | 48.38% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 42.63% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.94% ( 0.03) | 62.06% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.22% ( 0.02) | 81.78% ( -0.02) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.51% ( 0.01) | 42.49% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.14% ( 0) | 78.85% ( -0) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.13% ( 0.02) | 25.87% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.15% ( 0.03) | 60.85% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.44% 2-0 @ 4.03% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.55% 3-0 @ 1.15% 3-2 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 1.09% Total : 23.72% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0)Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 14.86% 0-2 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.53% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 48.37% |
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