SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Cerro Largo |
38.97% ( -0.07) | 29.15% ( -0) | 31.88% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 44.01% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.33% ( 0.02) | 62.67% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.77% ( 0.02) | 82.23% ( -0.01) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.74% ( -0.03) | 31.26% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.39% ( -0.04) | 67.61% ( 0.04) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.02% ( 0.07) | 35.98% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.24% ( 0.07) | 72.76% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 13.07% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.01% Total : 38.96% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.14% | 0-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 31.87% |
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