SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Miramar Misiones win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Miramar Misiones win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Cerro win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Miramar Misiones | Draw | Cerro |
40.89% ( -0.19) | 28.57% ( -0.05) | 30.54% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 45.17% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.96% ( 0.26) | 61.04% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.98% ( 0.2) | 81.02% ( -0.19) |
| Miramar Misiones Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.68% ( 0.02) | 29.32% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.71% ( 0.02) | 65.29% ( -0.02) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.91% ( 0.33) | 36.09% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.13% ( 0.33) | 72.87% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Miramar Misiones | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 12.98% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.54% Total : 40.89% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.57% | 0-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.96% Total : 30.54% |
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