Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 96.18%. A draw had a probability of 3.3% and a win for Deportivo Murcia had a probability of 0.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-3 with a probability of 16.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (15.87%) and 0-2 (12.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.65%), while for a Deportivo Murcia win it was 1-0 (0.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-10 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
