Osasuna are in need of a strong result to act as a potential springboard, and we are backing the visitors to win here. Arrasate's side are a lot better than they have shown this season, and we are expecting them to shade a close contest this weekend to move onto 10 points for the campaign.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 45.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 26.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
1.15) 
-0.15) 
