SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 18.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Sirius win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Sirius |
59.4% ( -0.05) | 21.84% ( 0.02) | 18.77% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.36% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.51% ( -0.05) | 44.49% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.14% ( -0.05) | 66.86% ( 0.05) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.39% ( -0.03) | 14.6% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.3% ( -0.06) | 42.7% ( 0.06) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.49% ( 0) | 37.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.71% ( 0) | 74.29% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Sirius |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 59.38% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.83% | 0-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.44% Total : 18.77% |
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