SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Sirius win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | Sirius |
49.32% ( -0.13) | 23.47% ( 0.13) | 27.2% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.87% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.63% ( -0.62) | 42.36% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.23% ( -0.62) | 64.77% ( 0.63) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.67% ( -0.28) | 17.33% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.3% ( -0.49) | 47.7% ( 0.5) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.21% ( -0.32) | 28.79% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.36% ( -0.41) | 64.64% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | Sirius |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.48% 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.92% Total : 49.32% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 27.2% |
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