SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Varnamo win it was 1-2 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Varnamo |
58.87% ( 0.27) | 21.43% ( 0.02) | 19.7% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 56.41% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.74% ( -0.55) | 41.26% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.34% ( -0.56) | 63.66% ( 0.56) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.29% ( -0.09) | 13.71% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.05% ( -0.19) | 40.94% ( 0.19) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.36% ( -0.62) | 34.63% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.64% ( -0.66) | 71.35% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Varnamo |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 58.87% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.43% | 1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.01% Total : 19.7% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
