Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 14
Jul 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Finnvedsvallen
We said: Varnamo 1-1 Djurgardens IF
Varnamo's primary concern this season is survival, so we can see them adopting a safety-first approach to this match.
In addition, Djurgarden are still winless away from home, and both sides are tough to break down, making for a low-scoring contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 46.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Varnamo win it was 1-0 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.
| Result |
| Varnamo | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
26.6% ( -0.02) | 27.09% ( -0.01) | 46.3% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.09% ( 0.01) |
| 42.45% ( 0.02) | 57.55% ( -0.02) |
| 21.66% ( 0.02) | 78.33% ( -0.02) |
| 62.66% ( -0) | 37.34% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.88% ( -0.01) | 74.12% ( 0.01) |
| 75.16% ( 0.02) | 24.84% ( -0.02) |
