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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 14
Jul 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Finnvedsvallen

Varnamo
1 - 2
Djurgarden

Engvall (7')
Lohikangas (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Schuller (69'), Berg (77' pen.)
Lofgren (50'), Asoro (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Degerfors 0-2 Varnamo
Saturday, July 1 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Djurgarden 2-0 Varbergs
Sunday, July 2 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Varnamo 1-1 Djurgardens IF

Varnamo's primary concern this season is survival, so we can see them adopting a safety-first approach to this match. In addition, Djurgarden are still winless away from home, and both sides are tough to break down, making for a low-scoring contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 46.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Varnamo win it was 1-0 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.

Result
VarnamoDrawDjurgardens IF
26.6% (-0.023 -0.02) 27.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 46.3% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.09% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.45% (0.021000000000001 0.02)57.55% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.66% (0.017000000000003 0.02)78.33% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)37.34% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)74.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Djurgardens IF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16% (0.024000000000001 0.02)24.84% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.56% (0.033999999999999 0.03)59.44% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Varnamo 26.6%
    Djurgardens IF 46.3%
    Draw 27.09%
VarnamoDrawDjurgardens IF
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 26.6%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 9.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 12.91%
0-2 @ 8.99% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-3 @ 4.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.11% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 46.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Degerfors 0-2 Varnamo
Saturday, July 1 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Varnamo 1-3 Malmo
Saturday, June 10 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Sirius 2-0 Varnamo
Sunday, June 4 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Hammarby 0-2 Varnamo
Monday, May 29 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Varnamo 0-1 Kalmar
Monday, May 22 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Elfsborg 2-0 Varnamo
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Djurgarden 2-0 Varbergs
Sunday, July 2 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Djurgarden 2-2 Norrkoping
Sunday, June 11 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Elfsborg 1-1 Djurgarden
Sunday, June 4 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Djurgarden 1-0 AIK
Sunday, May 28 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Djurgarden 1-0 Hacken
Wednesday, May 24 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Djurgarden 2-0 Mjallby AIF
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan


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