SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 46.7%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 24.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 1-0 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitebsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dnepr Mogilev | Draw | Vitebsk |
24.43% ( -0.11) | 28.87% ( 0.08) | 46.7% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 40.91% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.43% ( -0.31) | 64.56% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.41% ( -0.22) | 83.58% ( 0.21) |
| Dnepr Mogilev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.73% ( -0.28) | 43.26% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.49% ( -0.24) | 79.51% ( 0.23) |
| Vitebsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.11% ( -0.14) | 27.89% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.5% ( -0.17) | 63.5% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dnepr Mogilev | Draw | Vitebsk |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.02% Total : 24.42% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.44% Total : 28.85% | 0-1 @ 15.4% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.19% 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.59% Total : 46.69% |
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