SM
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 72.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 11.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 3-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for an Antigua and Barbuda win it was 1-2 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dominican Republic | Draw | Antigua and Barbuda |
72.4% ( 0.08) | 15.66% ( -0.29) | 11.93% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 58.85% ( 2.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.64% ( 2.17) | 29.36% ( -2.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.58% ( 2.6) | 50.42% ( -2.59) |
| Dominican Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.93% ( 0.53) | 7.07% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.2% ( 1.38) | 25.8% ( -1.38) |
| Antigua and Barbuda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.32% ( 1.88) | 36.68% ( -1.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.53% ( 1.84) | 73.47% ( -1.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dominican Republic | Draw | Antigua and Barbuda |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.63)3-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.32)1-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.68)4-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.21)4-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.25)5-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.18)5-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.23)5-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.16)6-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.11)6-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.27% Total : 72.4% | 1-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.16)0-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.34)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.25% Total : 15.66% | 1-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.89% Total : 11.93% |
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