SM
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Dominican Republic had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Dominican Republic win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peru would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peru | Draw | Dominican Republic |
40.13% ( -0.6) | 28.18% ( 0.21) | 31.69% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 46.62% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.58% ( -0.63) | 59.41% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.21% ( -0.48) | 79.79% ( 0.48) |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% ( -0.64) | 28.96% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.15% ( -0.81) | 64.85% ( 0.8) |
| Dominican Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.63% ( -0.04) | 34.37% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.92% ( -0.05) | 71.08% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peru | Draw | Dominican Republic |
| 1-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.63% Total : 40.12% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.18% | 0-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.27% Total : 31.69% |
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