SM
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dominica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | British Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turks and Caicos | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 82.91%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 5.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 4-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.19%), while for a British Virgin Islands win it was 1-2 (1.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dominican Republic | Draw | British Virgin Islands |
82.91% ( 0.28) | 11.17% ( -0.09) | 5.91% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 48.85% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.05% ( -0.5) | 27.95% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.32% ( -0.62) | 48.68% ( 0.62) |
| Dominican Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.09% ( -0.05) | 4.91% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.3% ( -0.14) | 19.7% ( 0.13) |
| British Virgin Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.37% ( -1.01) | 48.62% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.31% ( -0.73) | 83.68% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dominican Republic | Draw | British Virgin Islands |
| 3-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.26)4-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.1)6-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.09)6-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.06)7-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.06% Total : 82.91% | 1-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.78% Total : 11.17% | 1-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 1.72% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 5.91% |
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