SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-0 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Aberdeen |
25.18% ( 0.28) | 24.35% ( 0.14) | 50.48% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 54.06% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.14% ( -0.37) | 47.86% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.96% ( -0.34) | 70.04% ( 0.34) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.72% ( 0.03) | 33.28% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.11% ( 0.04) | 69.89% ( -0.04) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.02% ( -0.31) | 18.98% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.48% ( -0.51) | 50.52% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.38% Total : 25.18% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.32% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.16% Total : 50.47% |
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