SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 25.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Aberdeen |
25.65% ( -0.7) | 26.95% ( -0.19) | 47.4% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 46.75% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.37% ( 0.26) | 57.63% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.6% ( 0.2) | 78.4% ( -0.2) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.8% ( -0.46) | 38.2% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.03% ( -0.45) | 74.97% ( 0.45) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.65% ( 0.54) | 24.35% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.25% ( 0.76) | 58.75% ( -0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.59% Total : 25.65% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 9.28% ( 0.2)1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.42% Total : 47.4% |
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