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Friday, November 8
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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
ML

Aberdeen
2 - 1
Motherwell

Gueye (27', 81')
Heltne Nilsen (23'), Rubezic (64'), Gueye (71'), Besuijen (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ebiye (88')
O'Donnell (23'), Zdravkovski (23'), Robinson (52'), Vale (67'), McGinn (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 0-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, August 31 at 5.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-2 Motherwell
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Aberdeen 2-1 Motherwell

Aberdeen have started the season in superb form, and on home soil it would be a surprise if they were to falter here, but Motherwell themselves have also demonstrated that they are a capable outfit. A tight game is expected, but we think the Dons will just manage to take all three points over the Steelmen and make it five straight league wins to start the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 18.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aberdeen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.

Result
AberdeenDrawMotherwell
58.96% (0.696 0.7) 22.75% (-0.131 -0.13) 18.29% (-0.569 -0.57)
Both teams to score 49.61% (-0.604 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.94% (-0.291 -0.29)49.06% (0.287 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.86% (-0.262 -0.26)71.13% (0.258 0.26)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.69% (0.136 0.14)16.3% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.12% (0.25 0.25)45.87% (-0.254 -0.25)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.28% (-0.824 -0.82)40.72% (0.819 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.69% (-0.746 -0.75)77.3% (0.741 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 58.96%
    Motherwell 18.29%
    Draw 22.74%
AberdeenDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 12.04% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 10.92% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.6% (0.169 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.93% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.69% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.09% (0.038 0.04)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 58.96%
1-1 @ 10.81% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.078 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 22.74%
0-1 @ 5.96% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.86% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-2 @ 2.68% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 18.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ross County 0-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, August 31 at 5.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-0 Kilmarnock
Sunday, August 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-0 Queen's Park
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Aberdeen 3-1 St Mirren
Sunday, August 11 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-2 Aberdeen
Monday, August 5 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 6-0 Dumbarton
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-2 Motherwell
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 3-1 Hearts
Sunday, August 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-0 Kilmarnock (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, August 18 at 2pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Rangers 2-1 Motherwell
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 0-0 Ross County
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 0-0 Partick (1-3 pen.)
Sunday, July 28 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup


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