SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Kilmarnock |
29.86% ( 0.32) | 25.01% ( 0.44) | 45.13% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 55.57% ( -1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.44% ( -1.77) | 47.56% ( 1.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.23% ( -1.66) | 69.76% ( 1.66) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% ( -0.68) | 29.56% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.41% ( -0.83) | 65.58% ( 0.83) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.89% ( -1.06) | 21.11% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.06% ( -1.67) | 53.94% ( 1.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.33% Total : 29.86% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.45)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.77% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.58% Total : 45.13% |
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