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Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Final | 2nd Leg
May 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
DL

Kilmarnock
1 - 2
Dundee

Lafferty (69' pen.)
Tshibola (55'), McKenzie (73'), Whitehall (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mullen (7'), Ashcroft (12')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawDundee
36.29%25.51%38.2%
Both teams to score 55.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.99%48.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.82%70.18%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.25%25.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.32%60.68%
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31%24.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.77%59.23%
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 36.29%
    Dundee 38.2%
    Draw 25.5%
KilmarnockDrawDundee
1-0 @ 8.63%
2-1 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 5.85%
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-0 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 36.29%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 6.36%
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 8.89%
1-2 @ 8.44%
0-2 @ 6.22%
1-3 @ 3.93%
0-3 @ 2.9%
2-3 @ 2.67%
1-4 @ 1.38%
0-4 @ 1.01%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.2%

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