The sides boast similar defensive records heading into this one, but Hearts just about have the upper hand offensively. Nonetheless, we are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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