Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Kilbride win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Celtic Reserves had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Kilbride win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.14%) and 3-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Celtic Reserves win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Kilbride would win this match.
Result | ||
East Kilbride | Draw | Celtic Reserves |
49.85% ( 6.94) | 20.25% ( -0.25) | 29.92% ( -6.68) |
Both teams to score 73.22% ( -2.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.43% ( -1.48) | 24.58% ( 1.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.64% ( -1.98) | 44.36% ( 1.98) |
East Kilbride Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.29% ( 1.45) | 10.72% ( -1.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.35% ( 3.13) | 34.66% ( -3.12) |
Celtic Reserves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.01% ( -3.65) | 17.99% ( 3.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.15% ( -6.67) | 48.86% ( 6.68) |
Score Analysis |
East Kilbride | Draw | Celtic Reserves |
2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.73) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.86) 3-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.94) 1-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.64) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.86) 4-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.65) 4-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 2% ( 0.57) 4-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.36) 5-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.18) Other @ 4.6% Total : 49.85% | 1-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.25% | 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.59) 2-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.68) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.86) 0-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.45) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.56) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.51) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.63) 3-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.32) Other @ 3.57% Total : 29.92% |
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