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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
The C&G Systems Stadium

Dumbarton
1 - 1
East Kilbride

East Kilbride win 3-2 on penalties
Orsi (16')
Hilton (24'), Wallace (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wilson (7' og.)
McDonald (40'), Leitch (42'), Samson (89')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Dumbarton and East Kilbride.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spartans 2-2 Dumbarton
Friday, May 17 at 7.30pm in Scottish League One Playoffs
Last Game: East Kilbride 2-5 Hamilton
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Alloa0nan
2Annan0nan
3Arbroath0nan
4Cove Rangers0nan
5Dumbarton0nan
6Inverness0nan
7Kelty Hearts0nan
8Montrose0nan
9QotS0nan
10Stenhousemuir0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for East Kilbride had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.54%) and 2-0 (5.33%). The likeliest East Kilbride win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
DumbartonDrawEast Kilbride
39.3% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 23.35% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 37.35% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 63.96% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.37% (0.073 0.07)37.63% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.13% (0.079000000000001 0.08)59.86% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.44% (0.0019999999999953 0)19.56% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.52% (0.00099999999999767 0)51.48% (0.0020000000000024 0)
East Kilbride Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.52% (0.072999999999993 0.07)20.48% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.05% (0.11499999999999 0.11)52.95% (-0.11 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Dumbarton 39.3%
    East Kilbride 37.35%
    Draw 23.35%
DumbartonDrawEast Kilbride
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.54% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 39.3%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.93% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.35%
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.34% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.54% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.66% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.41% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 37.35%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Spartans 2-2 Dumbarton
Friday, May 17 at 7.30pm in Scottish League One Playoffs
Last Game: Dumbarton 2-1 Spartans
Tuesday, May 14 at 7.30pm in Scottish League One Playoffs
Last Game: Stirling 0-0 Dumbarton
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Scottish League One Playoffs
Last Game: Dumbarton 2-1 Stirling
Tuesday, May 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One Playoffs
Last Game: Peterhead 2-1 Dumbarton
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 2-2 Elgin
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: East Kilbride 2-5 Hamilton
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Edinburgh 1-4 East Kilbride
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Stirling 0-3 East Kilbride
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Celtic Res. 1-3 East Kilbride
Wednesday, August 2 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: East Kilbride 1-1 Annan (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Motherwell U21s 1-2 East Kilbride
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup


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