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National League | Gameweek 18
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road
SM

Ebbsfleet
0 - 6
Solihull


Davies (42'), Davies (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stewart (48' og.), Adu-Poku (51'), Wilkinson (58', 60', 73'), Bowen (90+4')
Wilkinson (64'), Oakley (80')
Clarke (5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tamworth 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 3-3 Altrincham
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League

We said: Ebbsfleet 1-3 Solihull Moors

Ebbsfleet are undoubtedly the underdogs heading into this match due to their abysmal beginning to the campaign, and having already conceded 37 times in 17 games, we expect a comfortable victory for the playoff-hunting Solihull. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawSolihull Moors
33.15% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 24.46% (0.0040000000000013 0) 42.39% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 58.97% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.22% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)43.78% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.83% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)66.17% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.58% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.55% (0.0039999999999978 0)60.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Solihull Moors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)20.76% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.59% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)53.4% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 33.15%
    Solihull Moors 42.39%
    Draw 24.46%
EbbsfleetDrawSolihull Moors
2-1 @ 7.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.24% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.53% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.77%
3-0 @ 2.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.15%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.46%
1-2 @ 8.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.35% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.69% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.84% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 42.39%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Tamworth 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-2 Wealdstone
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Forest Green 3-1 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: York City 4-0 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidstone 3-0 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-2 Rochdale
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 3-3 Altrincham
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 3-0 Maidstone
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Gateshead 1-0 Solihull
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 2-1 Woking
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 4-3 Barnet
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 2-2 Altrincham (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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