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National League | Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road
R

Ebbsfleet
2 - 2
Rochdale

Chapman (64'), Bingham (67' pen.)
Wright (34'), Dallison (40')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Allarakhia (36'), McBride (45')
Coverage of the National League clash between Ebbsfleet and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-2 Oldham
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in National League
Last Game: Rochdale 1-0 Braintree
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawRochdale
27.78% (0.582 0.58) 24.38% (0.077999999999999 0.08) 47.84% (-0.659 -0.66)
Both teams to score 56.25% (0.204 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.97% (0.054000000000002 0.05)46.03% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.66% (0.050000000000001 0.05)68.34% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (0.464 0.46)30.27% (-0.465 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.55% (0.551 0.55)66.45% (-0.553 -0.55)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.67% (-0.247 -0.25)19.33% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.9% (-0.41099999999999 -0.41)51.1% (0.41 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 27.78%
    Rochdale 47.84%
    Draw 24.38%
EbbsfleetDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 6.99% (0.073 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.87% (0.106 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.18% (0.095999999999999 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.74% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 27.78%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
1-2 @ 9.44% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.9% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-3 @ 5.17% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.33% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.13% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 47.84%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-2 Oldham
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 2-1 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Sutton 3-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-0 Hartlepool
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-0 Aldershot
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 4-0 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Rochdale 1-0 Braintree
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-3 Rochdale
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 4-2 Rochdale
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Solihull
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Rochdale 3-1 Maidenhead
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 0-2 Rochdale
Saturday, September 7 at 5.30pm in National League


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