SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 64.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 17.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-3 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 2-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
17.46% ( -0.04) | 18.42% | 64.12% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 63.23% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.51% ( -0.07) | 30.49% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.22% ( -0.09) | 51.78% ( 0.09) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.55% ( -0.08) | 30.45% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.34% ( -0.1) | 66.65% ( 0.1) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.91% ( -0.01) | 9.08% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.12% ( -0.03) | 30.87% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 4.69% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.96% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.43% Total : 17.46% | 1-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.42% | 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 7.57% ( 0)0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 6.36% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 4.54% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 2.18% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.83% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.29% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.22% Total : 64.12% |
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