SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Cape Verde had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Cape Verde win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Egypt | Draw | Cape Verde |
61.07% ( -1.01) | 22.37% ( 0.08) | 16.56% ( 0.93) |
| Both teams to score 47.46% ( 1.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.79% ( 1.21) | 50.21% ( -1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.83% ( 1.07) | 72.17% ( -1.07) |
| Egypt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.02% ( 0.08) | 15.98% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.71% ( 0.14) | 45.29% ( -0.15) |
| Cape Verde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.48% ( 1.95) | 43.51% ( -1.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.28% ( 1.58) | 79.72% ( -1.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Egypt | Draw | Cape Verde |
| 1-0 @ 12.75% ( -0.6) 2-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.52)2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.16)5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2% Total : 61.07% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.35)2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.25)Other @ 0.76% Total : 22.37% | 0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.13)Other @ 1.6% Total : 16.56% |
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