SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cape Verde in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cape Verde.
| Result | ||
| Cape Verde | Draw | Mauritania |
40.71% ( 0.16) | 29.51% ( -0.06) | 29.78% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 42.44% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.72% ( 0.15) | 64.27% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.62% ( 0.11) | 83.38% ( -0.11) |
| Cape Verde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.96% ( 0.17) | 31.03% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.65% ( 0.2) | 67.35% ( -0.21) |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.53% ( -0) | 38.46% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.78% ( 0) | 75.21% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cape Verde | Draw | Mauritania |
| 1-0 @ 13.96% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.71% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.5% | 0-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 1.59% Total : 29.77% |
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