With two in-form teams going head-to-head, we are expecting a keenly-contested affair. We can also see the sides cancelling each other out to settle for a share of the spoils in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 17.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cape Verde in this match.
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