SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 18.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Egypt | Draw | Burkina Faso |
56.54% ( 0.14) | 25.2% ( 0.21) | 18.26% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 42.77% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.8% ( -1.13) | 58.2% ( 1.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.15% ( -0.9) | 78.84% ( 0.89) |
| Egypt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% ( -0.39) | 20.61% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.84% ( -0.62) | 53.16% ( 0.62) |
| Burkina Faso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.87% ( -1.09) | 46.12% ( 1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.18% ( -0.85) | 81.82% ( 0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Egypt | Draw | Burkina Faso |
| 1-0 @ 15.01% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.22)2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.18% Total : 56.53% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.52% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.49% Total : 18.26% |
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