SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Libya had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.75%) and 2-1 (7.61%). The likeliest Libya win was 0-1 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cape Verde in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cape Verde | Draw | Libya |
39.05% ( 0.05) | 29.71% ( 0.04) | 31.25% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 42.41% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.46% ( -0.14) | 64.54% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.43% ( -0.1) | 83.57% ( 0.1) |
| Cape Verde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.83% ( -0.04) | 32.17% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.35% ( -0.04) | 68.66% ( 0.05) |
| Libya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.53% ( -0.14) | 37.48% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.74% ( -0.14) | 74.26% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cape Verde | Draw | Libya |
| 1-0 @ 13.67% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 39.05% | 1-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.7% | 0-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 31.24% |
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