SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 46.49%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 26.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cape Verde | Draw | South Africa |
46.49% ( 0.48) | 27.25% ( -0.47) | 26.26% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 46.42% ( 1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.71% ( 1.63) | 58.29% ( -1.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.08% ( 1.26) | 78.92% ( -1.26) |
| Cape Verde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.92% ( 0.98) | 25.08% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.23% ( 1.33) | 59.77% ( -1.33) |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.96% ( 0.9) | 38.04% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.19% ( 0.86) | 74.8% ( -0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cape Verde | Draw | South Africa |
| 1-0 @ 13.19% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.25% Total : 46.49% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.6)2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.24% | 0-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.62% Total : 26.26% |
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