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Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16
Jan 28, 2024 at 8pm UK
Laurent Pokou Stadium
CD

Egypt
1 - 1
Congo DR

Congo DR win 8-7 on penalties
Mohamed (45+1' pen.)
Fathi (58'), Hamdy (66'), Attia (80')
Hamdy (97')
FT
(aet)
Elia (37')
Batubinsika (45'), Bongonda (102'), Mbemba (115')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Cape Verde 2-2 Egypt
Monday, January 22 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Tanzania 0-0 Congo DR
Wednesday, January 24 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We say: Egypt 2-1 Congo DR

The seven-time AFCON champions have been far from impressive in this tournament, and there will be a fair few nerves heading into this match. While Congo DR have not set the stage alight in this competition, they have shown tremendous resilience and will likely try to keep this match level for as long as possible, which could open up gaps in the Egyptian defence on the counter-attack. This match could easily go the distance, but we are backing the Egyptians to progress when all is said and done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 14.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.65%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (6.46%).

Result
EgyptDrawCongo DR
61.79% (-0.167 -0.17) 23.9% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 14.31% (0.106 0.11)
Both teams to score 38.77% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.7% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)59.3% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.3% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)79.7% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.99% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)19.01% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.42% (-0.121 -0.12)50.58% (0.122 0.12)
Congo DR Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.88% (0.146 0.15)52.12% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.91% (0.093999999999999 0.09)86.08% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Egypt 61.78%
    Congo DR 14.31%
    Draw 23.89%
EgyptDrawCongo DR
1-0 @ 16.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 13.65% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.56% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.14% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 61.78%
1-1 @ 10.71% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.91% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.9% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.46% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.49% (0.025 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.1% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 14.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cape Verde 2-2 Egypt
Monday, January 22 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Egypt 2-2 Ghana
Thursday, January 18 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Egypt 2-2 Mozambique
Sunday, January 14 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Egypt 2-0 Tanzania
Sunday, January 7 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Sierra Leone 0-2 Egypt
Sunday, November 19 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Egypt 6-0 Djibouti
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Tanzania 0-0 Congo DR
Wednesday, January 24 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Morocco 1-1 Congo DR
Sunday, January 21 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Congo DR 1-1 Zambia
Wednesday, January 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Congo DR 1-2 Burkina Faso
Wednesday, January 10 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Congo DR 0-0 Angola
Saturday, January 6 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Sudan 1-0 Congo DR
Sunday, November 19 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa


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