SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ghana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Egypt | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 93.14%. A draw had a probability of 5.6% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 1.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 3-0 with a probability of 16.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.92%) and 4-0 (14.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.63%), while for a Djibouti win it was 0-1 (0.71%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Egypt | Draw | Djibouti |
93.14% ( 0.52) | 5.64% ( -0.39) | 1.23% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 22.88% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.38% ( 1.11) | 29.62% ( -1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.26% ( 1.34) | 50.74% ( -1.34) |
| Egypt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.55% ( 0.25) | 3.45% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.93% ( 0.84) | 15.07% ( -0.84) |
| Djibouti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 23.7% ( -0.59) | 76.3% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 3.06% ( -0.16) | 96.94% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Egypt | Draw | Djibouti |
| 3-0 @ 16.74% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 14.92% ( -0.31)4-0 @ 14.09% ( 0.31)5-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.4)1-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.38)6-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.04)7-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.21)6-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.05)8-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.68% Total : 93.13% | 0-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.17) 1-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.6% Total : 5.64% | Other @ 1.23% Total : 1.23% |
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