SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zambia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Morocco | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Zambia had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Zambia win was 0-1 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Congo DR | Draw | Zambia |
38.12% ( 0.4) | 28.26% ( -0.07) | 33.61% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 46.83% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.64% ( 0.23) | 59.36% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.25% ( 0.18) | 79.75% ( -0.18) |
| Congo DR Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.89% ( 0.36) | 30.11% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.74% ( 0.43) | 66.25% ( -0.43) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% ( -0.1) | 32.99% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.42% ( -0.11) | 69.58% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Congo DR | Draw | Zambia |
| 1-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.12% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.26% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.61% |
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