SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ghana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Egypt | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 45.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 26.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 1-0 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sierra Leone | Draw | Egypt |
26.93% ( -0.64) | 27.52% ( 0.01) | 45.55% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 46.16% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.14% ( -0.36) | 58.86% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.64% ( -0.28) | 79.36% ( 0.28) |
| Sierra Leone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.22% ( -0.74) | 37.78% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.44% ( -0.72) | 74.56% ( 0.72) |
| Egypt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( 0.15) | 25.8% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.24% ( 0.21) | 60.76% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sierra Leone | Draw | Egypt |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.67% Total : 26.93% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.2)1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 45.54% |
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