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Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 14, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny
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Egypt
2 - 2
Mozambique

Mohamed (2'), Salah (90+7' pen.)
Abdelmonem (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Witi (55'), Bauque (58')
Mandava (62'), Guimaraes (72'), King (90+12')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Egypt 2-0 Tanzania
Sunday, January 7 at 4pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Botswana 1-1 Mozambique
Monday, January 8 at 2pm in International Friendlies

We said: Egypt 3-0 Mozambique

While Mozambique may back themselves to secure a shock result, Egypt's superior quality should lead to a comfortable win for the Pharaohs on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 69.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 10.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.39%) and 3-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
EgyptDrawMozambique
69.38% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 20.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 10.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 36.48% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)55.56% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.26% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)76.73%
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)15.06% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.41% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)43.58% (0.012 0.01)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.95% (0.015000000000001 0.02)57.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.93% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)89.06% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Egypt 69.37%
    Mozambique 10.16%
    Draw 20.46%
EgyptDrawMozambique
1-0 @ 16.26%
2-0 @ 15.39%
3-0 @ 9.71% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.45%
4-0 @ 4.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.58%
5-0 @ 1.74% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.53%
5-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 69.37%
1-1 @ 9.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 8.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.46%
0-1 @ 4.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 2.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 10.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Egypt 2-0 Tanzania
Sunday, January 7 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Sierra Leone 0-2 Egypt
Sunday, November 19 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Egypt 6-0 Djibouti
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Egypt 1-1 Algeria
Monday, October 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Egypt 1-0 Zambia
Thursday, October 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Egypt 1-3 Tunisia
Tuesday, September 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Botswana 1-1 Mozambique
Monday, January 8 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mozambique 2-0 Lesotho
Saturday, January 6 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mozambique 0-2 Algeria
Sunday, November 19 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Botswana 2-3 Mozambique
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Mozambique 2-3 Nigeria
Monday, October 16 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Angola 1-1 Mozambique
Friday, October 13 at 3pm in International Friendlies


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