SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zambia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Morocco | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burkina Faso | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Angola | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Algeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Congo DR | Draw | Burkina Faso |
49.55% ( 0) | 28.19% ( 0) | 22.26% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 40.57% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.06% ( -0.02) | 63.94% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.85% ( -0.02) | 83.14% ( 0.01) |
| Congo DR Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% ( -0.01) | 26.17% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.74% ( -0.01) | 61.26% ( 0.01) |
| Burkina Faso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.95% ( -0.02) | 45.05% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.03% ( -0.02) | 80.97% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Congo DR | Draw | Burkina Faso |
| 1-0 @ 15.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.73% 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.59% 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 49.54% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0)Other @ 0.43% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)0-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 22.26% |
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