SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Racing de Santander |
51.95% ( -0.31) | 26.26% ( -0.04) | 21.79% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 44.82% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.85% ( 0.45) | 58.15% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.2% ( 0.36) | 78.8% ( -0.36) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% ( 0.06) | 22.51% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.93% ( 0.08) | 56.07% ( -0.09) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.84% ( 0.62) | 42.16% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.43% ( 0.53) | 78.57% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Racing de Santander |
| 1-0 @ 14.15% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 51.95% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.11% Total : 21.79% |
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