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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Burgos win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Santander would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Burgos |
47.11% ( 0.03) | 25.84% ( -0.02) | 27.05% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.06% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.42% ( 0.05) | 52.58% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.76% ( 0.04) | 74.23% ( -0.04) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.69% ( 0.03) | 22.31% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.22% ( 0.05) | 55.78% ( -0.05) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.72% ( 0.01) | 34.28% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.02% ( 0.01) | 70.98% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 11.47% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.3% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 47.11% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 27.05% |
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