Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 0-1 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
-0.36) 
0.27) 
