SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 43.88%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 26.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 1-2 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Eldense win it was 1-0 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eldense | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
26.71% ( -0.36) | 29.41% ( -0.06) | 43.88% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 41.2% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.96% ( 0.03) | 65.04% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.08% ( 0.02) | 83.92% ( -0.02) |
| Eldense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.54% ( -0.3) | 41.45% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.04% ( -0.27) | 77.96% ( 0.27) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.37% ( 0.25) | 29.62% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.33% ( 0.3) | 65.66% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eldense | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
| 1-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.21% Total : 26.71% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 12.28% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.4% | 0-1 @ 14.94% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.11)1-2 @ 8% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.38% Total : 43.88% |
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