SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 35.45%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.1%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (12.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
34.44% ( 0.06) | 30.1% ( -0) | 35.45% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 41.86% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.57% ( 0.01) | 65.43% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.81% ( 0.01) | 84.19% ( -0.01) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.35% ( 0.05) | 35.64% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.58% ( 0.05) | 72.41% ( -0.05) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.05% ( -0.03) | 34.95% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.3% ( -0.03) | 71.69% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
| 1-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 34.44% | 1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 12.45% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 30.1% | 0-1 @ 13.09% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 35.44% |
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