Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Eldense had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.66%) and 1-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Eldense win was 1-0 (12.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
