Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 36.95%. A draw had a probability of 32.5% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 30.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.61%) and 2-1 (6.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.12%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (13.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.