SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 59.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for GAIS had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a GAIS win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Elfsborg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Elfsborg.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | GAIS |
59.36% ( 0.5) | 21.11% ( -0.04) | 19.53% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 57.25% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.98% ( -0.5) | 40.02% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.61% ( -0.52) | 62.38% ( 0.52) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.84% ( -0.01) | 13.16% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.15% ( -0.03) | 39.84% ( 0.03) |
| GAIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.92% ( -0.75) | 34.08% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.23% ( -0.82) | 70.76% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | GAIS |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.2)1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.4% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.38% 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.5% Total : 59.36% | 1-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.11% | 1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.1% Total : 19.53% |
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